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Spartak Nalchik vs Legion Makhachkala

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Gurov K.
26'
Pereletov K.
35' Event
Lysenko S.

AI Match Summary

Spartak Nalchik in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Nalchik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Spartak Nalchik
6%
Draws
4%
Legion Makhachkala
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartak Nalchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartak Nalchik lately — more wins on the board than Legion Makhachkala.
  • Model gives Spartak Nalchik a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Legion Makhachkala here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Spartak Nalchik Clean Sheet 20%
Legion Makhachkala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Nalchik Legion Makhachkala
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Legion Makhachkala
4:0
Aug 9, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Legion Makhachkala vs Spartak Nalchik
1:0
May 10, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Legion Makhachkala
0:1
Sep 1, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Legion Makhachkala vs Spartak Nalchik
2:1
May 4, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Legion Makhachkala
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Nalchik Compare

Top Goalscorer Tlupov I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lysenko S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Legion Makhachkala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Nalchik 85 / 100
Legion Makhachkala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Nalchik Legion Makhachkala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Legion Makhachkala conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Spartak Nalchik has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Legion Makhachkala registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Nalchik VS Legion Makhachkala
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Nalchik

(Home)
04 Jul
Spartak Nalchik
3 : 2
FC Sevastopol
20 Jun
Spartak Nalchik
3 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
13 Jun
Rostov 2
1 : 1
Spartak Nalchik
06 Jun
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 1
Kyzyltash
30 May
Rubin Yalta
1 : 1
Spartak Nalchik
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Legion Makhachkala

(Away)
01 Nov
Legion Makhachkala
1 : 0
Astrakhan
25 Oct
Maykop
3 : 0
Legion Makhachkala
18 Oct
Legion Makhachkala
2 : 1
Sochi 2
11 Oct
Spartak Nalchik
4 : 0
Legion Makhachkala
05 Oct
Legion Makhachkala
1 : 3
Angust Nazran
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