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Spartak Nalchik vs Maykop

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Lysenko S.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 game between Spartak Nalchik and Maykop finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Nalchik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Spartak Nalchik
39%
Draws
30%
Maykop
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Maykop carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Spartak Nalchik Clean Sheet 23%
Maykop Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Nalchik Maykop
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Maykop
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Maykop vs Spartak Nalchik
0:1
Jun 29, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Maykop
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Maykop vs Spartak Nalchik
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Maykop vs Spartak Nalchik
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Nalchik Compare

Top Goalscorer Lysenko S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Maykop Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Nalchik 33 / 100
Maykop 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Nalchik Maykop

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DRU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Spartak Nalchik stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Spartak Nalchik found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Maykop's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Nalchik VS Maykop
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%