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Spartak Pleven vs Hebar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Pleven, Pleven
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Antonov P.
17'
Quao L.
19' Event
Tsonkov S.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Spartak Pleven and Hebar finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Pleven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Spartak Pleven
15%
Draws
42%
Hebar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Pleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Hebar haven't matched Spartak Pleven's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Hebar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 10%
Hebar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Pleven Hebar
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Hebar
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Spartak Pleven
0:3
Sep 6, 2025 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Hebar
1:2
Dec 7, 2019 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Hebar
1:3
Jul 20, 2019 Vtora liga
Hebar vs Spartak Pleven
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Pleven Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonov P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Velchev K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Hebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsonkov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mihaylov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Pleven 10 / 100
Hebar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Pleven Hebar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hebar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Spartak Pleven found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Hebar conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Spartak Pleven went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Pleven VS Hebar
0.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Pleven

(Home)
03 Oct
Krumovgrad
1 : 2
Spartak Pleven
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
Page 1 of 6

Hebar

(Away)
04 Oct
Yambol 1915
0 : 5
Hebar
27 Sept
Hebar
1 : 2
Dobrudzha
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 12 7 3 2 25:12 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Yantra Gabrovo 12 6 1 5 13:11 19
6 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
7 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
8 Etar 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
9 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
10 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
11 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)