Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartak Pleven vs Marek

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Pleven, Pleven
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Pleven host Marek in the Vtora liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Spartak Pleven have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Marek's 0.63 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Spartak Pleven have won 2 to Marek's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.19) back Marek to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Spartak Pleven
20%
Draws
38%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Pleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Pleven haven't matched Marek's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Spartak Pleven a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 20%
Marek Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Pleven Marek
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Vtora liga
Marek vs Spartak Pleven
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Marek
2:0
May 11, 2025 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Marek
2:0
Nov 16, 2024 Vtora liga
Marek vs Spartak Pleven
3:0
Apr 6, 2024 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Marek
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Pleven 42 / 100
Marek 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Pleven Marek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Pleven found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Marek let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Marek has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Pleven VS Marek
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Pleven

(Home)
25 Jul
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 2
Spartak Pleven
18 Jul
Montana
3 : 1
Spartak Pleven
14 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 0
Spartak Pleven
11 Jul
Gorna
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven
07 Jul
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 2
Spartak Pleven
Page 1 of 6

Marek

(Away)
25 Jul
Fratria
0 : 1
Marek
18 Jul
Vihren
1 : 0
Marek
11 Jul
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 2
Marek
03 Jul
CSKA Sofia
3 : 0
Marek
27 Jun
Septemvri Sofia
3 : 0
Marek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Etar11005:13
2Dobrudzha11005:13
3Spartak Pleven11002:03
4Beroe11002:13
5Marek11001:03
6Ludogorets II11001:03
7Montana10102:21
8Svoge10102:21
9Vihren10101:11
10Gorna10101:11
11CSKA Sofia II10101:11
12Chernomorets 191910101:11
13Hebar10011:20
14Rilski Sportist10010:10
15Fratria10010:10
16Yantra Gabrovo10010:20
17Pirin Blagoevgrad10011:50
18Nesebar10011:50
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)