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Spartak Pleven vs Marek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Pleven, Pleven
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Pehlivanov Y.
55'
Sandev R.
57'
Sub
Kozhuharov A. In: Dimitrov G.
Out: Kozhuharov A.

AI Match Summary

Spartak Pleven in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Pleven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Spartak Pleven
15%
Draws
37%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Pleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Spartak Pleven haven't matched Marek's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Marek a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 12%
Marek Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Pleven Marek
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.68 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Marek
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 Vtora liga
Marek vs Spartak Pleven
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Marek
2:0
May 11, 2025 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Marek
2:0
Nov 16, 2024 Vtora liga
Marek vs Spartak Pleven
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Pleven Compare

Top Goalscorer Pehlivanov Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marinov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Marek Compare

Top Goalscorer Goranov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Pleven 27 / 100
Marek 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Pleven Marek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Pleven found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Spartak Pleven remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Marek let in goals in 44% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Pleven VS Marek
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Pleven

(Home)
03 Oct
Krumovgrad
1 : 2
Spartak Pleven
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
Page 1 of 6

Marek

(Away)
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 12 7 3 2 25:12 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Yantra Gabrovo 12 6 1 5 13:11 19
6 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
7 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
8 Etar 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
9 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
10 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
11 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)