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Spartak Pleven vs Minyor Pernik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Stadion Pleven, Pleven
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Tarasenko D.
46' Event
Kozhuharov A.
57'
Orachev M.

AI Match Summary

Spartak Pleven in this Vtora liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Pleven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Spartak Pleven
15%
Draws
49%
Minyor Pernik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minyor Pernik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Pleven haven't matched Minyor Pernik's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Minyor Pernik taking it.
  • Regular Vtora liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 10%
Minyor Pernik Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Pleven Minyor Pernik
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Minyor Pernik
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Vtora liga
Minyor Pernik vs Spartak Pleven
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 Vtora liga
Minyor Pernik vs Spartak Pleven
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Minyor Pernik
3:2
May 6, 2023 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Minyor Pernik
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Pleven Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozhuharov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Minyor Pernik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Pleven 10 / 100
Minyor Pernik 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Pleven Minyor Pernik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minyor Pernik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spartak Pleven scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Minyor Pernik let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Spartak Pleven remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Pleven VS Minyor Pernik
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Pleven

(Home)
03 Oct
Krumovgrad
1 : 2
Spartak Pleven
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
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Minyor Pernik

(Away)
07 Oct
Minyor Pernik
5 : 1
Slavia Sofia 2
04 Oct
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Beroe
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0
Kyustendil
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
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