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Spartak Plovdiv vs Dimitrovgrad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Plovdiv host Dimitrovgrad in the Third League - South-East. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Spartak Plovdiv at 2.14 goals for, 1.86 against; Dimitrovgrad at 1.31 for, 2.14 against. Head-to-head, Spartak Plovdiv have won 4 to Dimitrovgrad's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 7:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.19) point toward Spartak Plovdiv. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Spartak Plovdiv
20%
Draws
24%
Dimitrovgrad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Plovdiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Spartak Plovdiv are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spartak Plovdiv have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 20%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Plovdiv Dimitrovgrad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.14 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Dimitrovgrad
7:2
Aug 23, 2025 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Spartak Plovdiv
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Dimitrovgrad
1:0
Oct 12, 2024 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Spartak Plovdiv
1:4
Feb 25, 2024 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Dimitrovgrad
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Plovdiv 76 / 100
Dimitrovgrad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Plovdiv Dimitrovgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spartak Plovdiv scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Dimitrovgrad conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Spartak Plovdiv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Plovdiv VS Dimitrovgrad
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Plovdiv

(Home)
04 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4
Gigant Saedinenie
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rozova Dolina
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Dimitrovgrad

(Away)
03 Oct
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Maritsa Milevo 9 7 0 2 21:11 21
3 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
7 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
8 Sozopol 9 4 1 4 19:17 13
9 Rozova Dolina 9 2 6 1 14:13 12
10 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 9 2 2 5 12:16 8
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
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