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Spartak Plovdiv vs Pirin Blagoevgrad

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Vangelov M.
78' Event
Bakalov D.
82' Event
Bakalov D.

AI Match Summary

The Bulgarian Cup game between Spartak Plovdiv and Pirin Blagoevgrad finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Spartak Plovdiv
6%
Draws
4%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Spartak Plovdiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Spartak Plovdiv taking it.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 14%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Plovdiv Pirin Blagoevgrad
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Plovdiv vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakalov D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Pirin Blagoevgrad Compare

Top Goalscorer Vangelov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Plovdiv 84 / 100
Pirin Blagoevgrad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Plovdiv Pirin Blagoevgrad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spartak Plovdiv scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Pirin Blagoevgrad conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Spartak Plovdiv went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Plovdiv VS Pirin Blagoevgrad
2.25 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bdin Vidin2
Etar1
TBD-
Dobrudzha-
Zagorets-
TBD-
TBD-
Botev Vratsa-
Partizan Cerven Brjag0
Minyor Pernik2
TBD-
Cherno More-
Germaneya0
Fratria4
TBD-
Arda-
Benkovski0
Dunav Ruse4
TBD-
Lok. Plovdiv-
Septemvri Tervel0
Marek3
TBD-
Montana-
Yambol 19152
Vihren1
TBD-
Spartak Varna-
OFC Haskovo0
Spartak Pleven4
TBD-
Botev Plovdiv-
Botev Novi Pazar1
Svoge4
TBD-
Septemvri Sofia-
FC Lovech0
Chernomorets 19195
TBD-
Ludogorets-
Pernik1
Hebar8
TBD-
Levski Sofia-
Bistritsa2
Gorna1
TBD-
Beroe-
Chernolomets2
Sevlievo4
TBD-
CSKA Sofia-
Rilski Sportist2
Belasitsa Petrich1
TBD-
Lok. Sofia-
Spartak Plovdiv2
Pirin Blagoevgrad1
TBD-
Slavia Sofia-
Kom Berkovitsa0
Yantra Gabrovo1
TBD-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
1/16-finals
Bdin Vidin2
Dobrudzha7
Zagorets1
Botev Vratsa4
Minyor Pernik0
Cherno More3
Fratria1
Arda2
Dunav Ruse1
Lok. Plovdiv2
Marek1
Montana4
Yambol 19151
Spartak Varna3
Spartak Pleven0
Botev Plovdiv4
Svoge0
Septemvri Sofia2
Chernomorets 19192
Ludogorets3
Hebar0
Levski Sofia3
Bistritsa1
Beroe0
Sevlievo1
CSKA Sofia2
Rilski Sportist2
Lok. Sofia3
Spartak Plovdiv1
Slavia Sofia2
Yantra Gabrovo0
CSKA 1948 Sofia4
1/8-finals
Dobrudzha0
Botev Vratsa1
Cherno More0
Arda3
Lok. Plovdiv4
Montana0
Spartak Varna0
Botev Plovdiv2
Septemvri Sofia1
Ludogorets3
Levski Sofia3
Bistritsa0
CSKA Sofia2
Lok. Sofia1
Slavia Sofia2
CSKA 1948 Sofia3
Quarter-finals
Botev Vratsa2
Arda3
Lok. Plovdiv1
Botev Plovdiv0
Ludogorets1
Levski Sofia0
CSKA Sofia2
CSKA 1948 Sofia0
Semi-finals
Arda1
Lok. Plovdiv5
Ludogorets1
CSKA Sofia2
Final
Lok. Plovdiv1
CSKA Sofia2