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Spartak Plovdiv vs Yambol 1915 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East game between Spartak Plovdiv and Yambol 1915 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Spartak Plovdiv
15%
Draws
31%
Yambol 1915
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Plovdiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%
Yambol 1915 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Plovdiv Yambol 1915
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 16
Draws 2 8
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2.14 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Yambol 1915
3:1
May 30, 2026 Third League - South-East
Yambol 1915 vs Spartak Plovdiv
4:2
Nov 29, 2025 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Yambol 1915
0:3
Apr 30, 2025 Third League - South-East
Yambol 1915 vs Spartak Plovdiv
2:5
Oct 19, 2024 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Yambol 1915
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Plovdiv 29 / 100
Yambol 1915 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Plovdiv Yambol 1915

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Plovdiv's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Yambol 1915's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Spartak Plovdiv remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Plovdiv VS Yambol 1915
2.13 Goals Scored 2.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Plovdiv

(Home)
10 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Dimitrovgrad
04 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4
Gigant Saedinenie
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

Yambol 1915

(Away)
10 Oct
Yambol 1915
3 : 3
Sekirovo Rakovski
04 Oct
Yambol 1915
0 : 5
Hebar
26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
19 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
0 : 7
Yambol 1915
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 9 9 0 0 28:8 27
2 Maritsa Milevo 10 8 0 2 25:11 24
3 Spartak Plovdiv 9 8 0 1 22:10 24
4 Yambol 1915 9 5 2 2 27:12 17
5 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
6 Neftochimic Burgas 9 5 1 3 18:13 16
7 Rodopa Smolyan 9 4 2 3 16:14 14
8 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
9 Sozopol 10 4 1 5 20:19 13
10 Rozova Dolina 10 2 6 2 15:16 12
11 Zagorets 9 3 1 5 10:19 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 10 2 1 7 10:25 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 9 1 3 5 16:27 6
17 Maritsa Plovdiv 10 1 2 7 8:17 5
18 Levski Karlovo 9 1 0 8 5:22 3
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)