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Spartak Tambov vs FC Oryol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Kuptsov D.
49' Event
Maloletov A.
80' Event
Mironov A.

AI Match Summary

Spartak Tambov in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Tambov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Spartak Tambov
20%
Draws
28%
FC Oryol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Tambov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Tambov have won more games recently than FC Oryol.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Spartak Tambov taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spartak Tambov have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 20%
FC Oryol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Tambov FC Oryol
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 21 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.72 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs FC Oryol
3:0
May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Spartak Tambov
1:5
Aug 3, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
FC Oryol vs Spartak Tambov
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs FC Oryol
4:0
Aug 11, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs FC Oryol
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuptsov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maloletov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Oryol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Tambov 85 / 100
FC Oryol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Tambov FC Oryol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Tambov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spartak Tambov scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Spartak Tambov remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

FC Oryol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Tambov VS FC Oryol
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Tambov

(Home)
10 Oct
Spartak Tambov
0 : 0
Ryazan
03 Oct
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
26 Sept
Spartak Tambov
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
19 Sept
Salyut-Belgorod
2 : 2
Spartak Tambov
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
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FC Oryol

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Oryol
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
26 Sept
SKA Khabarovsk 2
0 : 2
FC Oryol
17 Sept
FC Oryol
0 : 2
FK Shumbrat Saransk
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
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