Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartak Tambov vs FK Shumbrat Saransk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Bogdaev M.
Own Goal
44' Event
Stavtsev I.
54' Event
Petrov R.

AI Match Summary

Spartak Tambov in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Tambov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Spartak Tambov
33%
Draws
40%
FK Shumbrat Saransk
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FK Shumbrat Saransk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartak Tambov lately — more wins on the board than FK Shumbrat Saransk.
  • FK Shumbrat Saransk are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 19%
FK Shumbrat Saransk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Tambov FK Shumbrat Saransk
Matches Played 29 16
Wins 22 10
Draws 3 2
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 2 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs FK Shumbrat Saransk
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Stavtsev I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petrov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

FK Shumbrat Saransk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Tambov 28 / 100
FK Shumbrat Saransk 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Tambov FK Shumbrat Saransk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Tambov found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Spartak Tambov has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: FK Shumbrat Saransk conceded in 56% of 16 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Tambov VS FK Shumbrat Saransk
2 Goals Scored 2.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%