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Spartak Tambov vs Penza

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bogdaev M.
63' Event
Omarov M.

AI Match Summary

Spartak Tambov in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Tambov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Spartak Tambov
6%
Draws
4%
Penza
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartak Tambov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Spartak Tambov have won more games recently than Penza.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Spartak Tambov taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 20%
Penza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Tambov Penza
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 25 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 1.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.38 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Penza
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Penza
1:0
Jun 7, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Spartak Tambov
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Spartak Tambov
0:1
Jun 19, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Penza
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogdaev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omarov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Penza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Tambov 85 / 100
Penza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Tambov Penza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Tambov found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Penza has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Spartak Tambov remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Tambov VS Penza
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%