Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartak Tambov vs Rodina Moscow 3

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Tambov play Rodina Moscow 3 in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. Spartak Tambov are favorites here. Recently, Spartak Tambov averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. Rodina Moscow 3 averaged 2 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Spartak Tambov won 2, Rodina Moscow 3 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Spartak Tambov and 1.19 for Rodina Moscow 3. This points to a Spartak Tambov double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Spartak Tambov
28%
Draws
50%
Rodina Moscow 3
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rodina Moscow 3

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Spartak Tambov has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Rodina Moscow 3.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Rodina Moscow 3.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 20%
Rodina Moscow 3 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Tambov Rodina Moscow 3
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 25 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Rodina Moscow 3
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Rodina Moscow 3
1:0
May 3, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs Spartak Tambov
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Gurchenko D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Rodina Moscow 3 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Tambov 24 / 100
Rodina Moscow 3 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Tambov Rodina Moscow 3

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Tambov scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Rodina Moscow 3 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Spartak Tambov went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Rodina Moscow 3 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Tambov VS Rodina Moscow 3
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%