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Spartak Trnava vs Dun. Streda

Slovakia Slovakia

Nike liga 2025/2026 City Arena Trnava
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Trnava play Dun. Streda in the Nike liga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spartak Trnava averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Dun. Streda averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Spartak Trnava won 1, Dun. Streda won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Spartak Trnava and 1.00 for Dun. Streda. This points to a Dun. Streda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Spartak Trnava
17%
Draws
43%
Dun. Streda
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Dun. Streda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Trnava picked up more points recently compared to Dun. Streda.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Spartak Trnava Clean Sheet 23%
Dun. Streda Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Trnava Dun. Streda
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Nike liga
Dun. Streda vs Spartak Trnava
3:0
Apr 22, 2026 Nike liga
Spartak Trnava vs Dun. Streda
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Nike liga
Dun. Streda vs Spartak Trnava
3:1
Aug 31, 2025 Nike liga
Spartak Trnava vs Dun. Streda
0:3
May 11, 2025 Nike liga
Dun. Streda vs Spartak Trnava
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Trnava Compare

Top Goalscorer Gong H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paur J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Dun. Streda Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Trnava 41 / 100
Dun. Streda 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Trnava Dun. Streda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dun. Streda or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartak Trnava attacking → ← attacking Dun. Streda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Trnava scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Dun. Streda let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Spartak Trnava went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dun. Streda lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 40
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Slovan Bratislava32215662:3768
2Dun. Streda32177855:3458
3Spartak Trnava321751051:3756
4Zilina321571059:4152
5Michalovce321351444:5244
6Podbrezova321331655:5142