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Spartak Varna II vs Aksakovo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
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AI Match Summary

Aksakovo in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aksakovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Spartak Varna II
22%
Draws
60%
Aksakovo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Aksakovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aksakovo lately — more wins on the board than Spartak Varna II.
  • Aksakovo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Spartak Varna II Clean Sheet 10%
Aksakovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Varna II Aksakovo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna II vs Aksakovo
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Spartak Varna II
2:3
Mar 26, 2025 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna II vs Aksakovo
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Spartak Varna II
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Varna II 18 / 100
Aksakovo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Varna II Aksakovo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aksakovo conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Spartak Varna II found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Aksakovo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Varna II VS Aksakovo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291