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Spartak Varna vs Kaliakra Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2017/2018 Stadion Spartak, Varna
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AI Match Summary

Spartak Varna in this Third League - North-East 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Varna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Spartak Varna
30%
Draws
47%
Kaliakra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kaliakra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaliakra haven't matched Spartak Varna's recent run of results.
  • Kaliakra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 20%
Kaliakra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Varna Kaliakra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2019 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Spartak Varna
0:2
Oct 13, 2018 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna vs Kaliakra
1:1
Apr 14, 2018 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna vs Kaliakra
3:0
Feb 24, 2018 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna vs Kaliakra
2:0
Sep 23, 2017 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Spartak Varna
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Varna 10 / 100
Kaliakra 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Varna Kaliakra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaliakra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaliakra has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Spartak Varna scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Spartak Varna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Varna VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Varna

(Home)
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
Spartak Varna
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0
Spartak Varna
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Kaliakra

(Away)
29 May
Kubrat
3 : 2
Kaliakra
24 May
Kaliakra
2 : 3
Topolite
19 May
Lokomotiv Ruse
4 : 1
Kaliakra
12 May
Kaliakra
3 : 2
Volov Shumen
05 May
Ustrem Donchevo
0 : 2
Kaliakra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dobrudzha 30 28 2 0 101:10 86
2 Suvorovo 30 20 4 6 81:21 64
3 Lokomotiv Ruse 30 15 6 9 49:31 51
4 Hitrino 30 14 9 7 43:36 51
5 Septemvri Tervel 30 14 4 12 48:49 46
6 Svetkavitsa 30 12 6 12 44:26 42
7 Kaliakra 30 12 6 12 40:43 42
8 Spartak Varna 30 10 6 14 43:61 36
9 Botev Novi Pazar 30 6 3 21 25:78 21
10 Kubrat 30 4 5 21 22:61 17
11 Benkovski Byala 30 3 3 24 20:100 12
Promotion - Vtora liga 2018/2019 (Main)