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Spartak Varna vs Pernik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

A PFG 1998/1999
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Varna in this A PFG 1998/1999 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Varna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Spartak Varna
35%
Draws
26%
Pernik
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spartak Varna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Spartak Varna average 1.1 goals a game right now, well clear of Pernik's 1.03.
  • Win probability leans Spartak Varna's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular A PFG 1998/1999 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 20%
Pernik Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Varna Pernik
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 1999 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Pernik
3:0
Aug 29, 1998 efbet League
Pernik vs Spartak Varna
2:0
Apr 4, 1998 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Pernik
2:1
Oct 4, 1997 efbet League
Pernik vs Spartak Varna
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Varna 76 / 100
Pernik 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Varna Pernik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Varna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Varna scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Pernik conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Spartak Varna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Varna VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Varna

(Home)
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
Spartak Varna
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0
Spartak Varna
Page 1 of 6

Pernik

(Away)
12 Oct
Pernik
1 : 8
Hebar
06 Sept
Pernik
0 : 1
Chernomorets Balchik
27 May
Pernik
2 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
19 May
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 1
Pernik
13 May
Pernik
0 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Lovech 30 24 4 2 83:25 73
2 Levski Sofia 30 23 5 2 55:11 71
3 Velbazhd Kyustendil 29 18 3 8 57:29 57
4 Lok. Sofia 30 17 4 9 46:30 55
5 CSKA Sofia 29 15 5 9 54:39 50
6 Neftochimic Burgas 30 15 4 11 52:38 49
7 Slavia Sofia 30 11 8 11 47:36 41
8 Minyor Pernik 30 11 7 12 44:46 40
9 Dobrudzha 30 11 3 16 45:55 36
10 Pernik 30 11 2 17 33:46 35
11 Spartak Varna 30 10 4 16 39:50 34
12 Pirin Blagoevgrad 30 10 4 16 35:58 34
13 Shumen 2010 30 8 8 14 36:56 32
14 Botev Plovdiv 30 9 5 16 34:55 32
15 Septemvri Sofia 30 4 5 21 34:73 17
16 Lok. Plovdiv 30 4 5 21 26:73 17
Promotion - Champions League 1999/2000 (Qualification)
Promotion - UEFA Cup 1999/2000 (Main)
Promotion - Intertoto Cup 1999 (Main)
Promotion - UEFA Cup 1999/2000 (Main)