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Spartak Varna vs Shumen 2010

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup 2012/2013
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Match Events

52' Event
55'
80' Event

AI Match Summary

The Bulgarian Cup 2012/2013 game between Spartak Varna and Shumen 2010 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Varna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Spartak Varna
6%
Draws
4%
Shumen 2010
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartak Varna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Spartak Varna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Spartak Varna a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in Bulgarian Cup 2012/2013 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 15%
Shumen 2010 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Varna Shumen 2010
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2013 Vtora liga
Shumen 2010 vs Spartak Varna
1:1
Oct 13, 2012 Bulgarian Cup
Spartak Varna vs Shumen 2010
2:1
Aug 19, 2012 Vtora liga
Spartak Varna vs Shumen 2010
3:0
Mar 17, 2010 B PFG East
Spartak Varna vs Shumen 2010
0:3
Aug 22, 2009 B PFG East
Shumen 2010 vs Spartak Varna
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Varna 84 / 100
Shumen 2010 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Varna Shumen 2010

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shumen 2010 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Shumen 2010's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Spartak Varna found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (36 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Varna VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Slavia Sofia-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyubimets 2007-
Eurocollege Plovdiv-
TBD-
TBD-
Botev Plovdiv-
Bansko5
Sliven1
TBD-
Vidima-Rakovski-
Etar-
TBD-
TBD-
Minyor Pernik-
Gotse Delchev-
TBD-
TBD-
Montana-
Botev Vratsa-
TBD-
TBD-
Neftochimic Burgas-
Lokomotiv Mezdra3
Sportist Toshevo1
TBD-
Kaliakra-
Akademik Svishtov1
Septemvri Simitli0
TBD-
Beroe-
Levski Sofia-
TBD-
Svetkavitsa0
Pirin Razlog2
Strumska Slava-
TBD-
TBD-
Cherno More-
Spartak Varna2
Shumen 20101
TBD-
Rakovski 2011-
Lok. Plovdiv-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Lovech-
CSKA Sofia-
TBD-
TBD-
Ludogorets-
Silistra 2009-
TBD-
TBD-
Chavdar Etropole-
Chernomorets 1919-
TBD-
Mesta3
Spartak Pleven4
PFC Burgas-
TBD-
TBD-
Lok. Sofia-
1/16-finals
Slavia Sofia5
Lyubimets 20072
Eurocollege Plovdiv1
Botev Plovdiv9
Bansko8
Vidima-Rakovski2
Etar4
Minyor Pernik4
Gotse Delchev3
Montana2
Botev Vratsa1
Neftochimic Burgas2
Lokomotiv Mezdra5
Kaliakra4
Akademik Svishtov1
Beroe4
Levski Sofia4
Pirin Razlog0
Strumska Slava0
Cherno More2
Spartak Varna5
Rakovski 20114
Lok. Plovdiv0
FC Lovech2
CSKA Sofia2
Ludogorets2
Silistra 20092
Chavdar Etropole4
Chernomorets 19199
Spartak Pleven0
PFC Burgas3
Lok. Sofia3
1/8-finals
Slavia Sofia4
Botev Plovdiv0
Bansko2
Minyor Pernik3
Gotse Delchev2
Neftochimic Burgas1
Lokomotiv Mezdra1
Beroe8
Levski Sofia4
Cherno More1
Spartak Varna1
FC Lovech8
CSKA Sofia7
Chavdar Etropole0
Chernomorets 19192
Lok. Sofia3
Quarter-finals
Slavia Sofia5
Minyor Pernik3
Gotse Delchev1
Beroe4
Levski Sofia2
FC Lovech2
CSKA Sofia0
Lok. Sofia1
Semi-finals
Slavia Sofia0
Beroe1
Levski Sofia3
Lok. Sofia1
Final
Beroe4
Levski Sofia3