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Spartak Varna vs Topolite Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Varna in this Third League - North-East 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Varna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Spartak Varna
30%
Draws
35%
Topolite
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartak Varna lately — more wins on the board than Topolite.
  • Spartak Varna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spartak Varna here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 20%
Topolite Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Varna Topolite
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 3
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.18 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2021 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna vs Topolite
3:0
Oct 4, 2020 Third League - North-East
Topolite vs Spartak Varna
0:1
Mar 16, 2019 Third League - North-East
Topolite vs Spartak Varna
1:2
Sep 29, 2018 Third League - North-East
Spartak Varna vs Topolite
3:0
Mar 20, 2011 Third League - North-East
Topolite vs Spartak Varna
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Varna 85 / 100
Topolite 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Varna Topolite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Varna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Topolite let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Spartak Varna found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Spartak Varna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Varna VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Varna

(Home)
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
Spartak Varna
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0
Spartak Varna
Page 1 of 7

Topolite

(Away)
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 2
Topolite
16 May
Topolite
2 : 7
Ludogorets III
09 May
Topolite
1 : 3
Dunav Ruse
05 May
Topolite
1 : 4
Chernolomets
01 May
Svetkavitsa
5 : 0
Topolite
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Varna 28 22 5 1 81:11 71
2 Chernomorets Balchik 28 19 3 6 72:28 60
3 Septemvri Tervel 28 18 4 6 58:23 58
4 Svetkavitsa 28 18 1 9 67:25 55
5 Dunav Ruse 28 16 5 7 60:33 53
6 Ludogorets III 28 15 6 7 75:29 51
7 Chernolomets 28 15 5 8 60:33 50
8 Shumen 2007 28 16 2 10 67:36 50
9 Ustrem Donchevo 28 14 2 12 62:48 44
10 Dorostol 28 12 2 14 33:50 38
11 Sportist Toshevo 28 8 2 18 35:85 26
12 Botev Novi Pazar 28 6 3 19 24:66 21
13 Topolite 28 5 1 22 25:75 16
14 FK Riltzi 28 2 1 25 22:126 7
15 Kubrat 28 2 2 24 9:82 8
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