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Spartaks Jurmala vs FK Daugava Riga

Latvia Latvia

Virslīga 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Yaghoubi M.

AI Match Summary

Spartaks Jurmala in this Virslīga 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartaks Jurmala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Spartaks Jurmala
6%
Draws
4%
FK Daugava Riga
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Spartaks Jurmala have won more games recently than FK Daugava Riga.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Spartaks Jurmala taking it.
  • Regular Virslīga 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 13%
FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartaks Jurmala FK Daugava Riga
Matches Played 39 26
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2014 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs FK Daugava Riga
1:0
Aug 13, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Spartaks Jurmala
2:1
Jun 18, 2014 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs FK Daugava Riga
1:0
Apr 26, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Spartaks Jurmala
0:2
Feb 24, 2014 League Cup
FK Daugava Riga vs Spartaks Jurmala
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartaks Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Yaghoubi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FK Daugava Riga Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartaks Jurmala 84 / 100
FK Daugava Riga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartaks Jurmala FK Daugava Riga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Spartaks Jurmala remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

FK Daugava Riga lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Spartaks Jurmala found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (39 games).

FK Daugava Riga has conceded goals in 76% of their last 25 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spartaks Jurmala VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ventspils36265575:2083
2Skonto362511077:3471
3Jelgava362010657:2770
4FK Liepaja362131272:4566
5FC Daugava Daugavpils36198953:3965
6Spartaks Jurmala361491338:3251
7FK Daugava Riga361341948:6443
8BFC Daugavpils36852330:6529
9FK Metta36372626:6916
10FC Jurmala36262829:1107