Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartaks Jurmala vs Liepajas Metalurgs 2

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartaks Jurmala play Liepajas Metalurgs 2 in the 1. Liga 2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spartaks Jurmala averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Liepajas Metalurgs 2 averaged 2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Spartaks Jurmala won 1, Liepajas Metalurgs 2 won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 22, 2011 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Spartaks Jurmala and 1.69 for Liepajas Metalurgs 2. This points to a Liepajas Metalurgs 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Spartaks Jurmala
15%
Draws
55%
Liepajas Metalurgs 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liepajas Metalurgs 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Spartaks Jurmala picked up more points recently compared to Liepajas Metalurgs 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 13%
Liepajas Metalurgs 2 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartaks Jurmala Liepajas Metalurgs 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2011 Nakotnes liga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Liepajas Metalurgs 2
5:0
Jul 9, 2011 Nakotnes liga
Liepajas Metalurgs 2 vs Spartaks Jurmala
1:1
Sep 11, 2010 Nakotnes liga
Liepajas Metalurgs 2 vs Spartaks Jurmala
3:1
Jun 14, 2010 Nakotnes liga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Liepajas Metalurgs 2
1:3
Aug 8, 2009 Nakotnes liga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Liepajas Metalurgs 2
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartaks Jurmala 30 / 100
Liepajas Metalurgs 2 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartaks Jurmala Liepajas Metalurgs 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liepajas Metalurgs 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Liepajas Metalurgs 2 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartaks Jurmala attacking → ← attacking Liepajas Metalurgs 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartaks Jurmala scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Liepajas Metalurgs 2 let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Spartaks Jurmala went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Liepajas Metalurgs 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 52
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FK Metta24175261:1456
2Liepajas Metalurgs 224172587:3053
3Spartaks Jurmala24164474:2052
4RFS24163568:2551
5FK 1625 Liepaja24123956:3939
6Ventspils 22497845:3234
7Rezekne24931241:5130
8BFC Daugavpils24851137:4729
9FK Auda Riga24841235:4828
10Valmiera24911433:4928
11Tukums 200024571235:5422
12Jelgava 224551430:6120
13Ogre24012319:1511