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Spartaks Jurmala vs Noah Jurmala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Optibet Virsliga 2021 Slokas Stadions, Jūrmala
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Kerbache H. In: Asamoah K.
Out: Kerbache H.
15' Event
Wamba L.
30' Event
Asamoah K.

AI Match Summary

Spartaks Jurmala in this Optibet Virsliga 2021 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartaks Jurmala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Spartaks Jurmala
15%
Draws
0%
Noah Jurmala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartaks Jurmala lately — more wins on the board than Noah Jurmala.
  • Spartaks Jurmala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Optibet Virsliga 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Spartaks Jurmala have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 68%
Noah Jurmala Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartaks Jurmala Noah Jurmala
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 12 1
Draws 3 1
Losses 18 26
Goals Scored 1.36 0.29
Goals Conceded 1.97 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs Spartaks Jurmala
0:3
Aug 16, 2021 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Noah Jurmala
3:0
Jun 17, 2021 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Noah Jurmala
5:2
Apr 24, 2021 Virsliga
Noah Jurmala vs Spartaks Jurmala
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartaks Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Wamba L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asamoah K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Noah Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Babyr O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartaks Jurmala 95 / 100
Noah Jurmala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartaks Jurmala Noah Jurmala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartaks Jurmala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noah Jurmala has conceded goals in 100% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Spartaks Jurmala has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Noah Jurmala has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartaks Jurmala VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartaks Jurmala

(Home)
12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
29 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
FK Metta
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
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Noah Jurmala

(Away)
06 Nov
FK Metta
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
31 Oct
Noah Jurmala
0 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
27 Oct
FK Liepaja
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
23 Oct
FK Liepaja
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
17 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 0
Noah Jurmala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 28 20 6 2 65:22 66
2 Valmiera 28 19 5 4 54:19 62
3 FK Liepaja 28 16 3 9 47:26 51
4 Riga FC 28 14 8 6 54:26 50
5 Spartaks Jurmala 28 11 2 15 40:41 35
6 BFC Daugavpils 28 9 5 14 37:53 32
7 FK Metta 28 5 5 18 33:55 20
8 Noah Jurmala 28 1 0 27 8:96 3
9 Ventspils 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2022 (Main)