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Spartakus Daleszyce vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartakus Daleszyce play Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski in the III Liga - Group IV 2018/2019. Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski are favorites here. Recently, Spartakus Daleszyce averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Spartakus Daleszyce won 1, Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 6, 2019 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Spartakus Daleszyce and 1.24 for Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski. This points to a Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Spartakus Daleszyce
24%
Draws
58%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Spartakus Daleszyce picked up more points recently compared to Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Spartakus Daleszyce Clean Sheet 19%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartakus Daleszyce Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.17 0.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2019 III Liga - Group IV
Spartakus Daleszyce vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2:1
Aug 29, 2018 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Spartakus Daleszyce
1:0
Mar 31, 2018 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Spartakus Daleszyce
0:0
Aug 26, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
Spartakus Daleszyce vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:2
May 21, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
Spartakus Daleszyce vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartakus Daleszyce 20 / 100
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartakus Daleszyce Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +80%
10.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartakus Daleszyce attacking → ← attacking Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartakus Daleszyce scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Spartakus Daleszyce went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 58
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1S. Rzeszow342210287:2776
2Podhale Nowy Targ34237463:2776
3Motor Lublin342010462:3470
4Wisla Pulawy34179841:3160
5Hutnik Krakow341571253:4552
6Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski341491151:4351
7Sokol Sieniawa341391249:4348
8Avia Swidnik3411111242:4344
9Orleta Radzyn3410131142:5243
10Stal Krasnik3411101346:4743
11Sandomierz341091537:5739
12Chelmianka Chelm341091542:4939
13Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska349111441:3938
14Sola Oswiecim341081637:5138
15Biala Podlaska341051941:6835
16Wislanie Skawina34981745:6535
17Czarni Polaniec34772036:6328
18Spartakus Daleszyce34582134:6523