Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Ainslie Park, Edinburgh

Spartans

1 - 2

Arbroath

Our Tip

Match Events

Sub

Trialist In: Trialist B.

Out: Trialist

31'

Ross M.

39'

Winter A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Arbroath advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Spartans

Draws

90%

Arbroath

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arbroath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Spartans carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Arbroath a 90% chance of winning this.
Spartans have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Arbroath, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 3 times recently and Spartans have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Spartans Clean Sheet 13%

Arbroath Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Spartans	Arbroath
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	11	8
Draws	7	9
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	0.75	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Cup

Spartans vs Arbroath

1:2

Nov 25, 2023 Scottish Cup

Spartans vs Arbroath

2:1

Jan 10, 2004 Scottish Cup

Arbroath vs Spartans

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartans Compare

Top Goalscorer Whyte B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Arbroath Compare

Top Goalscorer Winter A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Flynn R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartans 10 / 100

Arbroath 85 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Spartans Arbroath

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARB Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:7

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spartans scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Arbroath has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Arbroath registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartans VS Arbroath

0.75 Goals Scored 1.5

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartans

(Home)

21 Jul

Dundee Utd

4 : 0

Spartans

14 Jul

Spartans

1 : 3

Stirling

11 Jul

Spartans

1 : 2

Arbroath

09 May

Spartans

1 : 1

Clyde

05 May

Clyde

2 : 0

Spartans

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Arbroath

(Away)

21 Jul

Arbroath

0 : 2

Montrose

18 Jul

Dundee Utd

3 : 0

Arbroath

14 Jul

Arbroath

1 : 2

Hearts

11 Jul

Spartans

1 : 2

Arbroath

04 Jul

Arbroath

4 : 1

Brechin

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