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Spartans vs Stirling

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Ainslie Park, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Whyte B.
37'
Crane C.
43' Event
McNab R.
Assist: Hepburn B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Stirling advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Spartans
20%
Draws
38%
Stirling
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Stirling haven't matched Spartans's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Spartans's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Spartans have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Stirling, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Spartans Clean Sheet 20%
Stirling Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartans Stirling
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Cup
Spartans vs Stirling
1:3
May 2, 2026 League Two
Stirling vs Spartans
2:2
Mar 3, 2026 League Two
Spartans vs Stirling
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 League Two
Stirling vs Spartans
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 League Two
Spartans vs Stirling
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartans Compare

Top Goalscorer Whyte B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Stirling Compare

Top Goalscorer McNab R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartans 42 / 100
Stirling 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartans Stirling

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartans's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Stirling's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Spartans went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartans VS Stirling
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartans

(Home)
11 Jul
Spartans
1 : 2
Arbroath
09 May
Spartans
1 : 1
Clyde
05 May
Clyde
2 : 0
Spartans
02 May
Stirling
2 : 2
Spartans
25 Apr
Spartans
1 : 1
Elgin City
Page 1 of 6

Stirling

(Away)
11 Jul
Stirling
0 : 1
Dundee Utd
04 Jul
Tranent FC
2 : 0
Stirling
02 May
Stirling
2 : 2
Spartans
25 Apr
Stranraer
1 : 1
Stirling
18 Apr
Stirling
2 : 2
Elgin City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queen's Park11003:13
2Kelty Hearts11001:12
3Queen of the South10011:11
4Aberdeen00000:00
5Brora Rangers10011:30
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arbroath11002:13
2Dundee Utd11001:03
3Montrose00000:00
4Spartans10011:20
5Stirling10010:10
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Mirren11004:03
2East Kilbride11003:03
3Cove Rangers00000:00
4Dunfermline10010:30
5Dumbarton10010:40
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ross County11004:13
2Dundee FC11004:23
3Clyde00000:00
4Airdrieonians10012:40
5Annan10011:40
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick11006:03
2Stenhousemuir11002:03
3Livingston00000:00
4Forfar Athletic10010:20
5Brechin10010:60
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Linlithgow Rose11001:03
2Inverness11001:12
3East Fife10011:11
4St Johnstone00000:00
5Morton10010:10
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falkirk11005:03
2Ayr11003:23
3Alloa00000:00
4Stranraer10012:30
5Edinburgh City10010:50
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Raith11003:13
2Hamilton11001:03
3Kilmarnock00000:00
4Peterhead10010:10
5Elgin City10011:30
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams