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Spartans vs Aberdeen B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Ainslie Park
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Searle J.
27' Event
Ross D.
Assist: Stewart A.
34' Event
Dall B.
Assist: Russell C.

AI Match Summary

Spartans in this Challenge Cup 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Spartans
40%
Draws
29%
Aberdeen B
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartans have won more games recently than Aberdeen B.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Spartans Clean Sheet 13%
Aberdeen B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartans Aberdeen B
Matches Played 28 22
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 2
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.5 2.4
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Spartans vs Aberdeen B
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartans Compare

Top Goalscorer Dall B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndlovu G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Aberdeen B Compare

Top Goalscorer Searle J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ross D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.18
Avg xA / game 1.33

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartans 31 / 100
Aberdeen B 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartans Aberdeen B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartans found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Aberdeen B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Aberdeen B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartans VS Aberdeen B
1.5 Goals Scored 2.4
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 60%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210