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Spartans vs Hamilton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Ainslie Park, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Welsh S.
Own Goal
47' Event
Thomas D.
Assist: Ryan A.
63' Event
MacDonald K.
Assist: Thomas D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Spartans
15%
Draws
58%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Hamilton have won more games recently than Spartans.
  • Win probability leans Hamilton's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Hamilton arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hamilton, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Spartans Clean Sheet 10%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartans Hamilton
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 20
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.61 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Challenge Cup
Spartans vs Hamilton
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartans Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader MacDonald K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartans 10 / 100
Hamilton 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartans Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Spartans's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Spartans went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Hamilton conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Spartans VS Hamilton
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartans

(Home)
17 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Stranraer
13 Oct
Spartans
1 : 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
10 Oct
Edinburgh City
1 : 3
Spartans
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
25 Sept
Spartans
1 : 0
Dundee FC B
Page 1 of 6

Hamilton

(Away)
17 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 2
Hamilton
13 Oct
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 2
Hamilton
10 Oct
Alloa
0 : 3
Hamilton
03 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1
Peterhead
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0
Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 6 5 1 0 17:4 16
2 Ross County 6 5 0 1 30:7 15
3 Airdrieonians 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
4 Cove Rangers 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
5 Peterhead 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
6 East Kilbride 6 4 1 1 19:13 13
7 St. Mirren B 6 4 0 2 19:8 12
8 Elgin City 6 4 0 2 14:3 12
9 Alloa 6 3 3 0 12:5 12
10 Hamilton 6 4 0 2 11:4 12
11 Montrose 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Celtic B 6 3 3 0 18:14 12
13 Queen of the South 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
14 Stirling 6 3 2 1 16:12 11
15 Aberdeen B 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
16 Bonnyrigg Rose 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
17 Edinburgh City 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
18 Berwick 6 3 1 2 11:15 10
19 Annan 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
20 Formartine Utd 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
21 Spartans 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
22 Kelty Hearts 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
23 Hearts B 6 3 0 3 17:29 9
24 Stranraer 6 2 1 3 16:15 7
25 East Fife 6 2 1 3 13:13 7
26 Forfar Athletic 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
27 Banks O' Dee 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
28 Dumbarton 6 2 1 3 10:19 7
29 Rangers B 6 2 0 4 11:11 6
30 Clyde 6 2 0 4 11:15 6
31 Kilmarnock B 6 1 2 3 11:16 5
32 Cumbernauld Colts 6 1 2 3 6:14 5
33 Clachnacuddin 6 1 1 4 11:17 4
34 Fraserburgh 6 1 1 4 7:21 4
35 Dundee FC B 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
36 Dundee Utd B 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
37 Gala Fairydean Rovers 6 0 2 4 3:17 2
38 Hibernian B 6 0 1 5 4:14 1
39 Cowdenbeath 6 0 0 6 6:15 0
40 Motherwell B 6 0 0 6 4:20 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)