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Spartans vs Hamilton

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Ainslie Park, Edinburgh
Tue, Sep 8, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Hamilton have shipped 0.91 goals a game lately, while Spartans have conceded 1.47 and scored 1.84. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.81) point toward Hamilton. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Spartans
35%
Draws
35%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Hamilton have won more games recently than Spartans.
  • Win probability leans Spartans's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Hamilton arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Spartans Clean Sheet 11%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartans Hamilton
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 13 20
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.84 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartans 40 / 100
Hamilton 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartans Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spartans scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Spartans stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Hamilton let in goals in 53% of their last 34 matches.

Away concern: Hamilton has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartans VS Hamilton
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartans

(Home)
29 Aug
Spartans
3 : 3
Clyde
25 Aug
Spartans
5 : 0
Hearts B
22 Aug
Spartans
3 : 3
Elgin City
15 Aug
Stranraer
1 : 0
Spartans
11 Aug
East Fife
2 : 2
Spartans
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Hamilton

(Away)
29 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cove Rangers
25 Aug
Hamilton
0 : 1
Edinburgh City
22 Aug
East Fife
0 : 0
Hamilton
15 Aug
Hamilton
4 : 0
Airdrieonians
12 Aug
Hamilton
1 : 3
Celtic B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren B 2 2 0 0 9:3 6
2 Clydebank FC 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
3 Peterhead 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
4 Ross County 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
5 Queen of the South 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
6 Montrose 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
7 East Kilbride 2 2 0 0 8:4 6
8 Stirling 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
9 Alloa 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
10 Edinburgh City 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
11 Bonnyrigg Rose 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
12 Spartans 2 1 1 0 7:2 4
13 Aberdeen B 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
14 Celtic B 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
15 Rangers B 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
16 Clachnacuddin 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
17 Formartine Utd 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
18 Stranraer 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
19 Elgin City 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
20 Airdrieonians 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
21 Cove Rangers 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
22 Kelty Hearts 2 1 0 1 6:7 3
23 Hearts B 2 1 0 1 4:8 3
24 Berwick 2 0 1 1 5:6 1
25 Annan 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
26 Kilmarnock B 2 0 1 1 4:6 1
27 Dumbarton 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
28 Fraserburgh 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
29 East Fife 2 0 1 1 4:7 1
30 Cumbernauld Colts 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
31 Hamilton 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
32 Forfar Athletic 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
33 Motherwell B 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
34 Dundee FC B 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
35 Cowdenbeath 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
36 Hibernian B 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
37 Clyde 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
38 Gala Fairydean Rovers 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
39 Dundee Utd B 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
40 Banks O' Dee 2 0 0 2 1:9 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)