Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartans vs Peterhead

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Ainslie Park, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Henderson B.
Assist: Craigen J.
88' Event
McGuffie C.
Assist: Ross S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Challenge Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Spartans
20%
Draws
42%
Peterhead
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Peterhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Peterhead lately — more wins on the board than Spartans.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Peterhead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spartans, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Spartans Clean Sheet 12%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartans Peterhead
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 13 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.84 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2025 Challenge Cup
Spartans vs Peterhead
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 League Two
Peterhead vs Spartans
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 League Two
Spartans vs Peterhead
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 League Two
Peterhead vs Spartans
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 League Two
Spartans vs Peterhead
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartans Compare

Top Goalscorer Henderson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Peterhead Compare

Top Goalscorer McGuffie C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartans 30 / 100
Peterhead 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartans Peterhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peterhead Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartans's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Peterhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Spartans stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Spartans VS Peterhead
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartans

(Home)
11 Aug
East Fife
2 : 2
Spartans
08 Aug
Spartans
2 : 2
Edinburgh City
01 Aug
Annan
2 : 4
Spartans
25 Jul
Montrose
0 : 2
Spartans
21 Jul
Dundee Utd
4 : 0
Spartans
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Peterhead

(Away)
11 Aug
Banks O' Dee
1 : 5
Peterhead
08 Aug
Queen of the South
0 : 1
Peterhead
01 Aug
Peterhead
0 : 1
Ross County
25 Jul
Peterhead
1 : 0
Kilmarnock
21 Jul
Raith
1 : 0
Peterhead
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 6 6 0 0 26:4 18
2 Stenhousemuir 6 6 0 0 18:2 18
3 Montrose 6 5 1 0 18:9 16
4 East Fife 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
5 Stranraer 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
6 East Kilbride 6 4 0 2 13:11 12
7 Forfar Athletic 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
8 Edinburgh City 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
9 Spartans 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
10 Elgin City 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
11 Dumbarton 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
12 Annan 6 3 1 2 15:10 10
13 Alloa 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
14 Kelty Hearts 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
15 Clyde 6 3 1 2 14:12 10
16 Queen of the South 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
17 Hamilton 6 3 1 2 13:8 9
18 Stirling 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
19 Cove Rangers 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
20 Peterhead 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
21 Celtic B 6 2 0 4 12:15 6
22 Hearts B 6 2 0 4 9:14 6
23 Hibernian B 6 1 2 3 11:14 5
24 St. Mirren B 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
25 Dundee Utd B 6 1 0 5 5:18 3
26 Aberdeen B 6 0 1 5 9:20 1
27 Motherwell B 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
28 Rangers B 6 0 0 6 6:16 0
29 Kilmarnock B 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
30 Dundee FC B 6 0 0 6 4:21 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)