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Spartans vs Stranraer - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two Ainslie Park, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Mason S.
Assist: Traynor A.
40'
Bruce Z.
55' Event
Healy A.
Assist: Traynor A.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Spartans and Stranraer finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stranraer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Spartans
30%
Draws
43%
Stranraer
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stranraer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Spartans haven't matched Stranraer's recent run of results.
  • Stranraer are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Stranraer have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Spartans Clean Sheet 10%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartans Stranraer
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 League Two
Spartans vs Stranraer
0:2
Aug 15, 2026 League Two
Stranraer vs Spartans
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 League Two
Spartans vs Stranraer
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 League Two
Stranraer vs Spartans
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 League Two
Spartans vs Stranraer
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Stranraer Compare

Top Goalscorer Mason S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Healy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartans 10 / 100
Stranraer 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartans Stranraer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stranraer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartans's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Stranraer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Spartans stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartans VS Stranraer
1.38 Goals Scored 3.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartans

(Home)
17 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Stranraer
13 Oct
Spartans
1 : 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
10 Oct
Edinburgh City
1 : 3
Spartans
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
25 Sept
Spartans
1 : 0
Dundee FC B
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Stranraer

(Away)
17 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Stranraer
13 Oct
Stranraer
3 : 3
Kilmarnock B
10 Oct
Annan
1 : 6
Stranraer
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 11 7 2 2 25:9 23
2 Clyde 11 7 2 2 27:18 23
3 Elgin City 11 5 3 3 27:17 18
4 Spartans 11 4 3 4 22:20 15
5 Kelty Hearts 11 5 0 6 16:21 15
6 Dumbarton 11 4 1 6 12:18 13
7 Stirling 11 3 3 5 14:24 12
8 Edinburgh City 11 4 4 3 20:18 11
9 Forfar Athletic 11 3 2 6 11:19 11
10 Annan 11 3 0 8 11:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)