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Spartax vs Serrano PB

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2
Thu, Sep 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartax host Serrano PB in the Paraibano 2. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Serrano PB have shipped 2.48 goals a game lately, while Spartax have conceded 1.62 and scored 1.41. Head-to-head, Spartax have won 0 to Serrano PB's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 21, 2025, ending 5:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.81) point toward Spartax. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Spartax
15%
Draws
34%
Serrano PB
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartax lately — more wins on the board than Serrano PB.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Paraibano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Spartax Clean Sheet 11%
Serrano PB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartax Serrano PB
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.41 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Paraibano 2
Serrano PB vs Spartax
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartax 35 / 100
Serrano PB 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartax Serrano PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serrano PB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Spartax found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Serrano PB conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Serrano PB lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartax VS Serrano PB
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartax

(Home)
21 Sept
Serrano PB
5 : 1
Spartax
17 Sept
Spartax
3 : 1
Sabugy
14 Sept
Spartax
0 : 3
Sao Paulo Crystal
11 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
2 : 0
Spartax
08 Sept
Spartax
4 : 2
Queimadense
Page 1 of 6

Serrano PB

(Away)
21 Sept
Serrano PB
5 : 1
Spartax
18 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
3 : 0
Serrano PB
15 Sept
Miramar EC
2 : 0
Serrano PB
11 Sept
Serrano PB
3 : 3
Atletico Cajazeirense
08 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 2
Desportiva Guarabira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auto Esporte 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Santa Rita 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Serrano PB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Desportiva Guarabira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sao Paulo Crystal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Sport PB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Picuiense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Spartax 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Cruzeiro-PB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Femar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)