Sport Picks
Spelle-Venhaus vs VfL Oldenburg
Germany
Oberliga Niedersachsen 2024/2025 
Match Events
14'
14'
Popov A.
22'
22'
Niehues T.
65'
65'
Strotmann E.
AI Match Summary
Spelle-Venhaus in this Oberliga Niedersachsen 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spelle-Venhaus.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spelle-Venhaus
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- VfL Oldenburg haven't matched Spelle-Venhaus's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Spelle-Venhaus's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Spelle-Venhaus here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Spelle-Venhaus Clean Sheet 20%
VfL Oldenburg Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spelle-Venhaus | VfL Oldenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.23 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2025 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Spelle-Venhaus vs VfL Oldenburg
4:1
Oct 20, 2024 Oberliga Niedersachsen
VfL Oldenburg vs Spelle-Venhaus
0:3
Apr 29, 2023 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Spelle-Venhaus vs VfL Oldenburg
2:1
Oct 30, 2022 Oberliga Niedersachsen
VfL Oldenburg vs Spelle-Venhaus
0:2
Oct 15, 2021 Oberliga Niedersachsen
VfL Oldenburg vs Spelle-Venhaus
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spelle-Venhaus Compare
Top Goalscorer Popov A.
3 Goals Assists Leader Strotmann E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
VfL Oldenburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Niehues T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spelle-Venhaus 40 / 100
VfL Oldenburg 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spelle-Venhaus VfL Oldenburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spelle-Venhaus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Spelle-Venhaus found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
VfL Oldenburg has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Spelle-Venhaus remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Spelle-Venhaus VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Spelle-Venhaus
(Home) 27 Sept
Meppen II
4 : 0 Spelle-Venhaus
20 Sept
Spelle-Venhaus
3 : 1 Braunschweig U23
13 Sept
Heeslinger SC
1 : 1 Spelle-Venhaus
06 Sept
Spelle-Venhaus
2 : 2 Luneburger Hansa
28 Aug
SV Wilhelmshaven
0 : 1 Spelle-Venhaus
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Spelle-Venhaus
3 : 1 Braunschweig U23
06 Sept
Spelle-Venhaus
2 : 2 Luneburger Hansa
23 Aug
Spelle-Venhaus
2 : 2 BSV Rehden
18 Aug
Spelle-Venhaus
3 : 5 VfL Osnabruck
09 Aug
Spelle-Venhaus
5 : 0 Hildesheim
Page 1 of 4
VfL Oldenburg
(Away) 31 Jan
Aabenraa
0 : 0 VfL Oldenburg
27 Jun
Jeddeloh
4 : 0 VfL Oldenburg
18 May
VfL Oldenburg
0 : 1 Heeslinger SC
11 May
Egestorf-Langreder
1 : 0 VfL Oldenburg
04 May
VfL Oldenburg
3 : 0 Vorsfelde
Page 1 of 6
31 Jan
Aabenraa
0 : 0 VfL Oldenburg
27 Jun
Jeddeloh
4 : 0 VfL Oldenburg
11 May
Egestorf-Langreder
1 : 0 VfL Oldenburg
25 Apr
Spelle-Venhaus
4 : 1 VfL Oldenburg
21 Apr
Schoningen
3 : 0 VfL Oldenburg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hannoverscher SC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 70:50 | 61 |
| 2 | Schoningen | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 55:37 | 60 |
| 3 | Delmenhorst | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 57:37 | 59 |
| 4 | TuS Bersenbruck | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62:65 | 54 |
| 5 | Spelle-Venhaus | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 59:49 | 51 |
| 6 | Heeslinger SC | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 64:55 | 51 |
| 7 | Meppen II | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50:53 | 50 |
| 8 | Hildesheim | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 55:45 | 49 |
| 9 | BSV Rehden | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 51:45 | 49 |
| 10 | Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 60:62 | 45 |
| 11 | SV Wilhelmshaven | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 46:51 | 45 |
| 12 | Egestorf-Langreder | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 32:40 | 43 |
| 13 | Braunschweig U23 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 51:59 | 41 |
| 14 | Verden | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 60:67 | 40 |
| 15 | Vorsfelde | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 40:52 | 40 |
| 16 | Eintracht Celle | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 43:61 | 36 |
| 17 | Arminia Hannover | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 36:46 | 35 |
| 18 | VfL Oldenburg | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 33:50 | 32 |
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2024/2025 (Relegation)
