Sport Picks
Spennymoor vs Chorley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
AI Match Summary
Spennymoor host Chorley in the National League North. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Spennymoor have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Chorley's 1.14 scored and 1.32 conceded. Head-to-head, Spennymoor have won 2 to Chorley's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.69) back Spennymoor to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Spennymoor's 1.48 goals per match outpaces what Chorley have produced (1.14).
- Model gives Spennymoor a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spennymoor | Chorley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Spennymoor scored in 89% of their last 27 outings.
Chorley has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Spennymoor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Spennymoor
(Home)Chorley
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 24 |
| 2 | Hereford | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:7 | 23 |
| 4 | King’s Lynn | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:16 | 20 |
| 5 | Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 20 |
| 6 | South Shields | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Hednesford | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:19 | 18 |
| 8 | Hebburn Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 10 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 11 | Buxton | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 12 | Bedford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Worksop | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:19 | 16 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 15 |
| 15 | Merthyr Town | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 16 | Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 17 | Harborough | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 18 | Brackley | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:23 | 15 |
| 19 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 20 | Radcliffe | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 21 | Telford | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:18 | 12 |
| 22 | Southport | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:23 | 9 |
| 23 | Darlington FC | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14:24 | 8 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:23 | 7 |
