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Spennymoor vs Hartlepool - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Bennett R.
70' Event
Nolan J.
81' Event
Nolan J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Hartlepool in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hartlepool.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Spennymoor
20%
Draws
0%
Hartlepool
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spennymoor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hartlepool lately — more wins on the board than Spennymoor.
  • Spennymoor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hartlepool here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 20%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spennymoor Hartlepool
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Spennymoor vs Hartlepool
1:2
Jul 21, 2018 Club Friendly
Spennymoor vs Hartlepool
0:1
Aug 4, 2014 Club Friendly
Spennymoor vs Hartlepool
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spennymoor Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennett R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Hartlepool Compare

Top Goalscorer Nolan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spennymoor 85 / 100
Hartlepool 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spennymoor Hartlepool

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spennymoor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spennymoor scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Hartlepool registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Hartlepool's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Spennymoor VS Hartlepool
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spennymoor

(Home)
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1
Chester
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2
Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4
Spennymoor
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3
Spalding United
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Hartlepool

(Away)
03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Tamworth
29 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Harrogate
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1
Hartlepool
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3
Worthing FC
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Hartlepool
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