Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spennymoor vs Hartlepool

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Bennett R.
70' Event
Nolan J.
81' Event
Nolan J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Hartlepool in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hartlepool.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Spennymoor
20%
Draws
51%
Hartlepool
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hartlepool

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hartlepool lately — more wins on the board than Spennymoor.
  • Spennymoor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hartlepool here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 15%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spennymoor Hartlepool
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Spennymoor vs Hartlepool
1:2
Jul 21, 2018 Club Friendly
Spennymoor vs Hartlepool
0:1
Aug 4, 2014 Club Friendly
Spennymoor vs Hartlepool
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spennymoor Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennett R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hartlepool Compare

Top Goalscorer Nolan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spennymoor 84 / 100
Hartlepool 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spennymoor Hartlepool

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spennymoor scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Hartlepool has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Spennymoor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spennymoor VS Hartlepool
1 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spennymoor

(Home)
08 Aug
Morecambe
1 : 1
Spennymoor
01 Aug
Spennymoor
2 : 1
Gateshead
25 Jul
Spennymoor
1 : 3
Halifax
18 Jul
Spennymoor
1 : 2
Hartlepool
25 Apr
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Marine
Page 1 of 6

Hartlepool

(Away)
11 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 10
Middlesbrough U21
08 Aug
Hartlepool
2 : 0
Barrow
01 Aug
Hartlepool
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3
Grimsby
21 Jul
Hebburn Town
2 : 3
Hartlepool
Page 1 of 6