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Spennymoor vs South Shields - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spennymoor host South Shields in the National League North. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. South Shields have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Spennymoor have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Spennymoor slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 2.13) point toward South Shields. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Spennymoor
15%
Draws
39%
South Shields
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spennymoor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to South Shields lately — more wins on the board than Spennymoor.
  • Win probability leans Spennymoor's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 10%
South Shields Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spennymoor South Shields
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 National League North
Spennymoor vs South Shields
1:1
Dec 26, 2025 National League North
South Shields vs Spennymoor
6:0
Apr 21, 2025 National League North
South Shields vs Spennymoor
0:2
Dec 26, 2024 National League North
Spennymoor vs South Shields
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 FA Trophy
Spennymoor vs South Shields
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spennymoor 40 / 100
South Shields 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spennymoor South Shields

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spennymoor's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

South Shields's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Spennymoor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spennymoor VS South Shields
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Spennymoor

(Home)
17 Oct
Harborough
3 : 1
Spennymoor
10 Oct
Brackley
2 : 1
Spennymoor
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1
Chester
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2
Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4
Spennymoor
Page 1 of 6

South Shields

(Away)
17 Oct
Halifax
3 : 2
South Shields
10 Oct
Macclesfield
4 : 3
South Shields
03 Oct
Buxton
0 : 2
South Shields
29 Sept
Brackley
3 : 2
South Shields
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0
Buxton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macclesfield 11 7 3 1 17:9 24
2 Hereford 11 7 2 2 22:6 23
3 Oxford City 11 7 2 2 21:7 23
4 King’s Lynn 12 6 2 4 22:16 20
5 Chester 11 6 2 3 14:9 20
6 South Shields 11 6 2 3 18:17 20
7 Hednesford 12 5 3 4 21:19 18
8 Hebburn Town 12 5 3 4 16:21 18
9 Spalding United 11 5 2 4 14:9 17
10 Chorley 11 5 2 4 18:18 17
11 Buxton 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
12 Bedford 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
13 Worksop 12 5 1 6 14:19 16
14 Scarborough Athletic 12 4 3 5 18:16 15
15 Merthyr Town 12 3 6 3 14:13 15
16 Marine 11 5 0 6 13:12 15
17 Harborough 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
18 Brackley 12 4 3 5 15:23 15
19 Morecambe 11 4 2 5 15:11 14
20 Radcliffe 12 4 0 8 15:21 12
21 Telford 12 3 3 6 11:18 12
22 Southport 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
23 Darlington FC 12 2 2 8 14:24 8
24 Spennymoor 11 1 4 6 12:23 7
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Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)