Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 2023/2024 game between Speranis and Saksan finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saksan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Speranis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Saksan come out ahead of Speranis on wins alone.
- Saksan are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Saksan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Speranis Clean Sheet 20%
Saksan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Speranis | Saksan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 20 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 2.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 28, 2025 Super Liga
Saksan vs Speranis
4:0
Dec 7, 2024 Liga 1
Speranis vs Saksan
1:2
Oct 25, 2024 Liga 1
Speranis vs Saksan
1:1
Sep 13, 2024 Liga 1
Saksan vs Speranis
2:1
Dec 1, 2023 Liga 1
Saksan vs Speranis
5:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Speranis 20 / 100
Saksan 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Speranis Saksan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saksan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Speranis scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Speranis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Saksan conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Speranis VS Saksan
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Speranis
(Home) 28 May
Saksan
4 : 0 Speranis
21 May
Victoria
0 : 2 Speranis
17 May
Stauceni
0 : 1 Speranis
07 May
Speranis
3 : 1 Olimp Comrat
26 Apr
Vulturii Cutezatori
0 : 2 Speranis
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Speranis
3 : 1 Olimp Comrat
18 Apr
Speranis
1 : 0 Sheriff Tiraspol 2
04 Apr
Speranis
5 : 2 Olimp Comrat
15 Mar
Speranis
2 : 1 Speranta Drochia
07 Dec
Speranis
1 : 2 Saksan
Page 1 of 3
Saksan
(Away) 28 May
Saksan
4 : 0 Speranis
21 May
Saksan
2 : 0 Falesti
16 May
Saksan
4 : 0 Iskra Ribnita
10 May
Saksan
2 : 0 Falesti
06 May
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0 Saksan
Page 1 of 6
06 May
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0 Saksan
02 May
Victoria
1 : 3 Saksan
25 Apr
Stauceni
1 : 1 Saksan
18 Apr
Floresti
0 : 3 Saksan
11 Apr
Falesti
0 : 3 Saksan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 46:17 | 34 |
| 2 | Sheriff Tiraspol 2 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 38:10 | 32 |
| 3 | Speranta Drochia | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14:15 | 21 |
| 4 | Iskra Ribnita | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:32 | 21 |
| 5 | FCM Ungheni | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 38:30 | 20 |
| 6 | Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol | 15 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6:62 | 1 |
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saksan | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 44:14 | 35 |
| 2 | Univer Comrat | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 33:18 | 33 |
| 3 | Speranis | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 26:28 | 19 |
| 4 | Falesti | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 24:32 | 17 |
| 5 | Olimp Comrat | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Succes | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14:44 | 4 |
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
