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Spezia U19 vs Monopoli U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Primavera 2
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spezia U19 host Monopoli U19 in the Primavera 2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Spezia U19 at 1.68 goals for, 1.32 against; Monopoli U19 at 1.32 for, 1.81 against. Head-to-head, Spezia U19 have won 4 to Monopoli U19's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.88) back Spezia U19 to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Spezia U19
30%
Draws
29%
Monopoli U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spezia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spezia U19 come out ahead of Monopoli U19 on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Spezia U19 taking it.
  • Regular Primavera 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spezia U19 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Spezia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Monopoli U19 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spezia U19 Monopoli U19
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.68 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Primavera 2
Monopoli U19 vs Spezia U19
0:2
Jan 17, 2026 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Monopoli U19
6:0
Mar 15, 2025 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Monopoli U19
1:1
Jan 18, 2025 Primavera 2
Monopoli U19 vs Spezia U19
1:3
Aug 21, 2024 Coppa Italia Primavera
Spezia U19 vs Monopoli U19
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spezia U19 38 / 100
Monopoli U19 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spezia U19 Monopoli U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spezia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monopoli U19 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Spezia U19's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Spezia U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spezia U19 VS Monopoli U19
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spezia U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Pisa U19
0 : 3
Spezia U19
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3
Palermo U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
09 May
Pisa U19
2 : 1
Spezia U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1
Ternana U19
Page 1 of 7

Monopoli U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Monopoli U19
2 : 2
Pescara U19
12 Sept
Perugia U19
3 : 0
Monopoli U19
05 Sept
Monopoli U19
4 : 0
Cosenza U19
22 Aug
Monopoli U19
2 : 3
Union Brescia U19
09 May
Monopoli U19
1 : 1
Cosenza U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Renate U19 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Vicenza U19 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Cremonese U19 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
4 Entella U19 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
5 Padova U19 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Mantova U19 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
7 Sampdoria U19 3 1 2 0 7:5 5
8 Modena U19 3 1 1 1 10:8 4
9 Venezia U19 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
10 Union Brescia U19 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
11 Cittadella U19 3 1 0 2 8:10 3
12 Udinese U19 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
13 Sudtirol U19 3 0 2 1 0:3 2
14 Reggiana U19 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
15 Pro Vercelli U19 3 0 1 2 0:6 1
16 Lecco U19 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Perugia U19 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Catanzaro U19 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
3 Avellino U19 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
4 Bari U19 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
5 Palermo U19 3 2 1 0 8:5 7
6 Benevento U19 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
7 Spezia U19 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
8 Monopoli U19 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
9 Pescara U19 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
10 Latina U19 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
11 Pisa U19 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
12 Ascoli U19 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
13 Napoli U19 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
14 Frosinone U19 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
15 Cosenza U19 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
16 Salernitana U19 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)