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Spezia U20 vs Livorno U20

Italy Italy

Primavera - Group A 2012/2013
Spezia U20 Logo

Spezia U20

1 - 0
FT
Livorno U20 Logo

Livorno U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group A 2012/2013 game between Spezia U20 and Livorno U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spezia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Spezia U20
30%
Draws
23%
Livorno U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spezia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spezia U20 come out ahead of Livorno U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Spezia U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Spezia U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Livorno U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spezia U20 Livorno U20
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.04 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2013 Primavera - Group A
Livorno U20 vs Spezia U20
1:1
Oct 20, 2012 Primavera - Group A
Spezia U20 vs Livorno U20
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spezia U20 84 / 100
Livorno U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spezia U20 Livorno U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spezia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Livorno U20 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Spezia U20 scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Spezia U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spezia U20 VS Livorno U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spezia U20

(Home)
21 Apr
Spezia U20
2 : 1
Fiorentina U20
13 Apr
Parma U20
1 : 1
Spezia U20
07 Apr
Spezia U20
2 : 0
Cagliari U20
03 Apr
Genoa U20
1 : 1
Spezia U20
22 Mar
Spezia U20
0 : 4
Siena U20
Page 1 of 6

Livorno U20

(Away)
20 Apr
Livorno U20
2 : 2
Grosseto U20
13 Apr
Juventus U20
6 : 0
Livorno U20
06 Apr
Livorno U20
3 : 2
Genoa U20
30 Mar
Parma U20
5 : 3
Livorno U20
16 Mar
Livorno U20
0 : 5
Fiorentina U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus U20 26 19 4 3 49:19 61
2 Fiorentina U20 26 18 2 6 59:25 56
3 Torino U20 26 15 8 3 40:19 53
4 Genoa U20 26 13 7 6 41:31 46
5 Empoli U20 26 12 5 9 41:37 41
6 Parma U20 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
7 Spezia U20 26 10 5 11 27:38 35
8 Novara U20 26 9 4 13 35:42 31
9 Siena U20 26 8 6 12 30:35 30
10 Pro Vercelli U20 26 9 3 14 26:40 30
11 Sampdoria U20 26 7 7 12 33:32 28
12 Cagliari U20 26 7 5 14 33:42 26
13 Livorno U20 26 6 7 13 36:53 25
14 Grosseto U20 26 3 4 19 25:60 13
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2012/2013 (Qualification)