Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spezia vs Sudtirol

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Valoti M.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Pecorino E.
Assist: Frigerio M. R.
23'
Zedadka K.

AI Match Summary

Spezia in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spezia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Spezia
28%
Draws
50%
Sudtirol
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sudtirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Spezia at 1.75 per game, Sudtirol at 0.88.
  • Sudtirol are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Spezia Clean Sheet 16%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spezia Sudtirol
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Serie B
Spezia vs Sudtirol
6:1
Jan 10, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Spezia
2:1
Feb 28, 2025 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Spezia
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie B
Spezia vs Sudtirol
3:0
Mar 9, 2024 Serie B
Spezia vs Sudtirol
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Serio G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beruatto P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sudtirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Pecorino E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spezia 23 / 100
Sudtirol 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spezia Sudtirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Spezia scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Sudtirol let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Spezia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spezia VS Sudtirol
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spezia

(Home)
01 Aug
Empoli
1 : 1
Spezia
08 May
Pescara
1 : 1
Spezia
01 May
Spezia
2 : 2
Venezia
25 Apr
Catanzaro
4 : 2
Spezia
18 Apr
Spezia
6 : 1
Sudtirol
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Sudtirol

(Away)
28 Jul
Sudtirol
7 : 0
ASC St. Georgen
25 Jul
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Kaiserslautern
22 May
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Bari
15 May
Bari
0 : 0
Sudtirol
08 May
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)