Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Valoti M.
7'
7'
Yeboah J.
Assist: Doumbia I.
14'
14'
Adorante A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spezia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Venezia lately — more wins on the board than Spezia.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Spezia taking it.
- Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Spezia Clean Sheet 20%
Venezia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spezia | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 2.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2026 Serie B
Spezia vs Venezia
2:2
Sep 27, 2025 Serie B
Venezia vs Spezia
2:0
May 10, 2024 Serie B
Spezia vs Venezia
2:1
Sep 15, 2023 Serie B
Venezia vs Spezia
1:0
Aug 14, 2023 Coppa Italia
Spezia vs Venezia
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spezia Compare
Top Goalscorer Valoti M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Artistico G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Venezia Compare
Top Goalscorer Yeboah J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sagrado R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spezia 85 / 100
Venezia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spezia Venezia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spezia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spezia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Venezia's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Spezia found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Venezia has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Spezia VS Venezia
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Spezia
(Home) 16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0 Livorno
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0 Vado
29 Aug
Spezia
1 : 0 Campobasso
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0 Livorno
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0 Vado
29 Aug
Spezia
1 : 0 Campobasso
16 Aug
Spezia
4 : 1 Sassari Torres
01 May
Spezia
2 : 2 Venezia
Page 1 of 3
Venezia
(Away) 19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2 Lazio
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4 Fiorentina
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2 Venezia
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1 Venezia
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0 Venezia
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2 Venezia
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1 Venezia
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0 Venezia
08 Aug
Brest
2 : 2 Venezia
01 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 3 Venezia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 82 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 81 |
| 3 | Monza | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 76 |
| 4 | Palermo | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Avellino | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | 49 |
| 9 | Mantova | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | 46 |
| 10 | Padova | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | 46 |
| 11 | Cesena | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | 46 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | 44 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | 44 |
| 14 | Entella | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | 42 |
| 15 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | 41 |
| 16 | Sudtirol | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | 41 |
| 17 | Bari | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | 40 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | 37 |
| 19 | Spezia | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | 35 |
| 20 | Pescara | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | 35 |
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
