Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spicul Bucuresti vs Mostistea Ulmu

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 2 2010/2011
Fri, Apr 29, 2011
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spicul Bucuresti host Mostistea Ulmu in the Liga 3 - Seria 2 2010/2011. This has Mostistea Ulmu written all over it on paper. Mostistea Ulmu have shipped 0.91 goals a game lately, while Spicul Bucuresti have conceded 2 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Mostistea Ulmu slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2011, ending 0:3. The numbers (0.85 xG vs 1.61) point toward Mostistea Ulmu. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Spicul Bucuresti
20%
Draws
80%
Mostistea Ulmu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mostistea Ulmu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Spicul Bucuresti haven't matched Mostistea Ulmu's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mostistea Ulmu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Spicul Bucuresti Clean Sheet 14%
Mostistea Ulmu Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spicul Bucuresti Mostistea Ulmu
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 6 17
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.66
Goals Conceded 2 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Spicul Bucuresti vs Mostistea Ulmu
0:3
Oct 22, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Mostistea Ulmu vs Spicul Bucuresti
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spicul Bucuresti 10 / 100
Mostistea Ulmu 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spicul Bucuresti Mostistea Ulmu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mostistea Ulmu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Spicul Bucuresti scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Mostistea Ulmu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Mostistea Ulmu lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mostistea Ulmu
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spicul Bucuresti

(Home)
27 May
Calarasi
3 : 0
Spicul Bucuresti
20 May
Spicul Bucuresti
0 : 3
Callatis Mangalia
13 May
Partizanul Merei
3 : 0
Spicul Bucuresti
06 May
Spicul Bucuresti
0 : 3
LPS HD Clinceni
03 May
Eforie
3 : 0
Spicul Bucuresti
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Mostistea Ulmu

(Away)
15 May
Steaua Bucuresti
2 : 0
Mostistea Ulmu
08 May
Mostistea Ulmu
0 : 2
Steaua Bucuresti
30 Apr
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
1 : 1
Mostistea Ulmu
24 Apr
Mostistea Ulmu
4 : 0
Gloria Albesti
16 Apr
Popesti Leordeni
2 : 2
Mostistea Ulmu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Callatis Mangalia 28 21 5 2 64:15 68
2 Unirea Slobozia 28 21 4 3 75:29 67
3 Berceni 28 16 4 8 48:29 52
4 Calarasi 28 15 5 8 50:34 50
5 Rapid Bucuresti 2 28 13 5 10 45:27 44
6 Voluntari 28 11 10 7 33:26 43
7 Tunari 28 10 6 12 49:52 36
8 CSM Ramnicu Sarat 28 10 6 12 29:36 36
9 LPS HD Clinceni 28 10 6 12 42:48 36
10 Mostistea Ulmu 28 10 6 12 33:39 36
11 Comprest 28 7 11 10 28:41 32
12 Eforie 28 10 2 16 30:49 32
13 Partizanul Merei 28 7 3 18 36:64 24
14 Spicul Bucuresti 28 6 5 17 35:56 23
15 Stoicescu Buzau 28 3 2 23 22:74 11
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie A 2011/2012 (Main)