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Spinea vs Ambrosiana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Berto G.
12' Event
Barilaro A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Spinea
15%
Draws
59%
Ambrosiana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ambrosiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ambrosiana lately — more wins on the board than Spinea.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Spinea Clean Sheet 10%
Ambrosiana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spinea Ambrosiana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Spinea
5:3
Dec 19, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Spinea vs Ambrosiana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spinea Compare

Top Goalscorer Berto G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ambrosiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Barilaro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spinea 34 / 100
Ambrosiana 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spinea Ambrosiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ambrosiana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ambrosiana let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Spinea found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Spinea stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spinea VS Ambrosiana
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spinea

(Home)
15 May
Cartigliano
2 : 2
Spinea
08 May
Spinea
0 : 5
Dolomiti Bellunesi
01 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 3
Spinea
27 Apr
Spinea
1 : 3
Campodarsego
24 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 3
Spinea
Page 1 of 6

Ambrosiana

(Away)
26 Jul
Mantova
7 : 0
Ambrosiana
22 May
Ambrosiana
0 : 1
Delta Porto Tolle
15 May
Ambrosiana
3 : 2
Luparense FC
08 May
Levico Terme
0 : 1
Ambrosiana
01 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 3
Spinea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arzignano 34 21 10 3 74:32 73
2 Clodiense 34 20 12 2 53:22 72
3 Adriese 34 19 9 6 61:36 66
4 Luparense FC 34 16 10 8 60:35 58
5 Campodarsego 34 15 11 8 48:37 56
6 Caldiero Terme 34 15 6 13 58:50 51
7 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 14 8 12 51:50 50
8 Montebelluna 34 14 7 13 57:52 49
9 Mestre 34 13 7 14 36:45 46
10 Cjarlins Muzane 34 11 12 11 51:43 45
11 Cartigliano 34 11 12 11 44:40 45
12 Este 34 10 13 11 31:42 43
13 Levico Terme 34 11 9 14 31:40 42
14 Ambrosiana 34 11 7 16 45:52 40
15 Delta Porto Tolle 34 10 6 18 43:51 36
16 Spinea 34 6 7 21 27:58 25
17 Cattolica Calcio 34 6 5 23 20:61 23
18 San Martino Speme 34 5 5 24 29:73 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Out)