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Spinea vs Arzignano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Gnago Y. G.
90' Event
Moras M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 game between Spinea and Arzignano finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Spinea
20%
Draws
57%
Arzignano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arzignano come out ahead of Spinea on wins alone.
  • Arzignano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Spinea Clean Sheet 19%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spinea Arzignano
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 21
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Spinea vs Arzignano
0:2
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Arzignano vs Spinea
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spinea Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Arzignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Gnago Y. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moras M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spinea 10 / 100
Arzignano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spinea Arzignano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzignano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arzignano has conceded goals in 62% of their last 37 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Spinea scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Spinea went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arzignano
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spinea

(Home)
15 May
Cartigliano
2 : 2
Spinea
08 May
Spinea
0 : 5
Dolomiti Bellunesi
01 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 3
Spinea
27 Apr
Spinea
1 : 3
Campodarsego
24 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 3
Spinea
Page 1 of 6

Arzignano

(Away)
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3
Arzignano
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arzignano 34 21 10 3 74:32 73
2 Clodiense 34 20 12 2 53:22 72
3 Adriese 34 19 9 6 61:36 66
4 Luparense FC 34 16 10 8 60:35 58
5 Campodarsego 34 15 11 8 48:37 56
6 Caldiero Terme 34 15 6 13 58:50 51
7 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 14 8 12 51:50 50
8 Montebelluna 34 14 7 13 57:52 49
9 Mestre 34 13 7 14 36:45 46
10 Cjarlins Muzane 34 11 12 11 51:43 45
11 Cartigliano 34 11 12 11 44:40 45
12 Este 34 10 13 11 31:42 43
13 Levico Terme 34 11 9 14 31:40 42
14 Ambrosiana 34 11 7 16 45:52 40
15 Delta Porto Tolle 34 10 6 18 43:51 36
16 Spinea 34 6 7 21 27:58 25
17 Cattolica Calcio 34 6 5 23 20:61 23
18 San Martino Speme 34 5 5 24 29:73 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Out)