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Spisska Nova Ves vs Bardejov

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
0 - 2
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spisska Nova Ves play Bardejov in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spisska Nova Ves averaged 2.19 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. Bardejov averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. In past meetings, Spisska Nova Ves won 4, Bardejov won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 11, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Spisska Nova Ves and 1.56 for Bardejov. This points to a Spisska Nova Ves double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Spisska Nova Ves
15%
Draws
41%
Bardejov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spisska Nova Ves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Spisska Nova Ves picked up more points recently compared to Bardejov.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Spisska Nova Ves Clean Sheet 15%
Bardejov Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spisska Nova Ves Bardejov
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 17 21
Draws 5 6
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 2.19 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Spisska Nova Ves vs Bardejov
0:2
Apr 19, 2025 3. Liga - East
Bardejov vs Spisska Nova Ves
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 3. Liga - East
Spisska Nova Ves vs Bardejov
4:0
Sep 27, 2023 Slovak Cup
Bardejov vs Spisska Nova Ves
1:4
Apr 15, 2023 3. Liga - East
Bardejov vs Spisska Nova Ves
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spisska Nova Ves 43 / 100
Bardejov 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spisska Nova Ves Bardejov

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spisska Nova Ves or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spisska Nova Ves attacking → ← attacking Bardejov

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spisska Nova Ves scored in 92% of their last 26 games.

Bardejov let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Spisska Nova Ves went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bardejov lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 69
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75