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Spjelkavik vs Aalesund 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Halvorsen K.
16' Event
Tjostheim J.
18' Event
Leikanger T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Spjelkavik
15%
Draws
34%
Aalesund 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spjelkavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Spjelkavik have won more games recently than Aalesund 2.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Spjelkavik taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Spjelkavik Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spjelkavik Aalesund 2
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Spjelkavik
3:2
May 9, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Aalesund 2
2:2
Aug 25, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Aalesund 2
4:1
Jun 30, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Spjelkavik
2:2
Aug 4, 2024 Division 3 - Group 5
Spjelkavik vs Aalesund 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spjelkavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Halvorsen K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tjostheim J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Aalesund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leikanger T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spjelkavik 47 / 100
Aalesund 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spjelkavik Aalesund 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spjelkavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spjelkavik scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Aalesund 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Aalesund 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spjelkavik VS Aalesund 2
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Spjelkavik

(Home)
26 Sept
Melhus
0 : 1
Spjelkavik
21 Sept
Spjelkavik
0 : 4
Rosenborg 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
31 Aug
Spjelkavik
3 : 1
Molde 2
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Aalesund 2

(Away)
25 Sept
Aalesund 2
1 : 7
Rosenborg 2
20 Sept
Orkla
2 : 2
Aalesund 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
07 Sept
Molde 2
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
17 Aug
FK Kvik
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
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