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Spjelkavik vs Kristiansund 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Dubicki F.

AI Match Summary

Spjelkavik in this Division 3 - Group 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spjelkavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Spjelkavik
15%
Draws
46%
Kristiansund 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kristiansund 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Kristiansund 2 haven't matched Spjelkavik's recent run of results.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spjelkavik have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Spjelkavik Clean Sheet 20%
Kristiansund 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spjelkavik Kristiansund 2
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 6 11
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.13 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.91 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Kristiansund 2
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Kristiansund 2 vs Spjelkavik
0:5
Aug 24, 2024 Division 3 - Group 5
Kristiansund 2 vs Spjelkavik
3:2
Jun 3, 2024 Division 3 - Group 5
Spjelkavik vs Kristiansund 2
4:0
Aug 13, 2018 Division 3 - Group 1
Spjelkavik vs Kristiansund 2
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spjelkavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Dubicki F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Kristiansund 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spjelkavik 32 / 100
Kristiansund 2 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spjelkavik Kristiansund 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kristiansund 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spjelkavik scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Kristiansund 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Spjelkavik went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spjelkavik VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spjelkavik

(Home)
26 Sept
Melhus
0 : 1
Spjelkavik
21 Sept
Spjelkavik
0 : 4
Rosenborg 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
31 Aug
Spjelkavik
3 : 1
Molde 2
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Kristiansund 2

(Away)
25 Oct
Kristiansund 2
1 : 1
Aalesund 2
18 Oct
Spjelkavik
1 : 0
Kristiansund 2
11 Oct
Surnadal
2 : 3
Kristiansund 2
05 Oct
Kristiansund 2
1 : 0
Trygg/Lade
29 Sept
Byasen
1 : 0
Kristiansund 2
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