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Spjelkavik vs Orkla

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Solbu E.
66' Event
Wisloff I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Spjelkavik and Orkla finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orkla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Spjelkavik
30%
Draws
47%
Orkla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orkla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spjelkavik come out ahead of Orkla on wins alone.
  • Orkla are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Spjelkavik Clean Sheet 10%
Orkla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spjelkavik Orkla
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 2.07 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.03 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Orkla vs Spjelkavik
2:5
Jun 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Orkla
0:2
Sep 11, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Spjelkavik
1:4
Sep 12, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Spjelkavik
0:0
Aug 15, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Spjelkavik
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spjelkavik Compare

Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Orkla Compare

Top Goalscorer Solbu E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wisloff I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spjelkavik 26 / 100
Orkla 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spjelkavik Orkla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orkla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spjelkavik scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Orkla conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Spjelkavik stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spjelkavik VS Orkla
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Spjelkavik

(Home)
21 Sept
Spjelkavik
0 : 4
Rosenborg 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
31 Aug
Spjelkavik
3 : 1
Molde 2
22 Aug
Spjelkavik
1 : 2
Hodd
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Orkla

(Away)
20 Sept
Orkla
2 : 2
Aalesund 2
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
05 Sept
Orkla
3 : 1
Ntnui
31 Aug
Ranheim 2
3 : 3
Orkla
15 Aug
Orkla
2 : 5
Spjelkavik
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