Sport Picks
Spokane Velocity vs FC Naples Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
USL League One One Spokane Stadium, Spokane, WA 
Match Events
8'
8'
Alexandre M.
Assist: Pelaez A.
28'
28'
John-Brown S.
36'
36'
Lewis A.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Spokane Velocity and FC Naples finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spokane Velocity.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spokane Velocity
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Spokane Velocity carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Spokane Velocity have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 68%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spokane Velocity | FC Naples |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs FC Naples
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Spokane Velocity
0:1
Mar 22, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs FC Naples
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spokane Velocity Compare
Top Goalscorer Alexandre M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
FC Naples Compare
Top Goalscorer Mastrantonio L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spokane Velocity 41 / 100
FC Naples 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spokane Velocity FC Naples
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spokane Velocity Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Naples's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.
Attacking prowess: Spokane Velocity scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.
Solid form: Spokane Velocity remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Spokane Velocity VS FC Naples
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Spokane Velocity
(Home) 30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Greenville Triumph
16 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 3 Corpus Christi FC
13 Aug
Spokane Velocity
1 : 2 Colorado Springs
26 Jul
Spokane Velocity
3 : 1 Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 3
FC Naples
(Away) 26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
05 Sept
FC Naples
0 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
23 Aug
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 FC Naples
15 Aug
Westchester SC
3 : 2 FC Naples
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 64:40 | 57 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50:27 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:31 | 48 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 38:33 | 46 |
| 6 | Athletic Club Boise | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 47:40 | 43 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 42:36 | 38 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:37 | 36 |
| 10 | Sarasota Paradise | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37:40 | 33 |
| 11 | AV Alta FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 30:43 | 31 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 46:45 | 30 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 40:50 | 30 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 35:54 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:51 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 27:56 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
