Sport Picks
Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One One Spokane Stadium, Spokane, WA 
Match Events
38'
38'
Vinyals N.
Assist: Gallardo J.
39'
39'
Brett N.
Assist: Vinyals N.
45'
45'
Hernandez M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Spokane Velocity lately — more wins on the board than Portland Hearts of Pine.
- Model gives Spokane Velocity a 33% chance of winning this.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 18%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spokane Velocity | Portland Hearts of Pine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine
3:3
May 30, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity
2:1
Nov 10, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine
3:2
Oct 21, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity
6:1
Apr 6, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spokane Velocity Compare
Top Goalscorer Vinyals N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Brett N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Portland Hearts of Pine Compare
Top Goalscorer Felipe
1 Goals Assists Leader Camara A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spokane Velocity 49 / 100
Portland Hearts of Pine 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spokane Velocity Portland Hearts of Pine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spokane Velocity Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Hearts of Pine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Spokane Velocity scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Spokane Velocity has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Spokane Velocity VS Portland Hearts of Pine
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Spokane Velocity
(Home) 04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Greenville Triumph
16 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 3 Corpus Christi FC
13 Aug
Spokane Velocity
1 : 2 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 4
Portland Hearts of Pine
(Away) 04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 Westchester SC
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
02 Sept
Charlotte Independence
3 : 2 Portland Hearts of Pine
22 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
19 Aug
One Knoxville
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
