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Spokane Zephyr W vs Carolina Ascent W

USA USA

USL Super League Women 2025/2026 One Spokane Stadium, Spokane, WA
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Match Events

59' Event
Baisden R.
Assist: Coleman A.
60'
Sub
Knox F. In: Tucker C.
Out: Knox F.
68' Event
Baisden R.
Assist: George M.

AI Match Summary

The USL Super League Women 2025/2026 game between Spokane Zephyr W and Carolina Ascent W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carolina Ascent W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Spokane Zephyr W
20%
Draws
38%
Carolina Ascent W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spokane Zephyr W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carolina Ascent W come out ahead of Spokane Zephyr W on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Spokane Zephyr W taking it.
  • Regular USL Super League Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Spokane Zephyr W Clean Sheet 18%
Carolina Ascent W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spokane Zephyr W Carolina Ascent W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs Spokane Zephyr W
0:2
Oct 31, 2025 USL Super League Women
Spokane Zephyr W vs Carolina Ascent W
1:2
Sep 24, 2025 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs Spokane Zephyr W
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs Spokane Zephyr W
3:0
Mar 9, 2025 USL Super League Women
Spokane Zephyr W vs Carolina Ascent W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spokane Zephyr W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Carolina Ascent W Compare

Top Goalscorer Baisden R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spokane Zephyr W 41 / 100
Carolina Ascent W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spokane Zephyr W Carolina Ascent W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Spokane Zephyr W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Spokane Zephyr W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Carolina Ascent W conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Spokane Zephyr W VS Carolina Ascent W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spokane Zephyr W

(Home)
16 May
Spokane Zephyr W
4 : 0
Brooklyn W
10 May
Spokane Zephyr W
1 : 0
DC Power W
03 May
Spokane Zephyr W
0 : 0
Lexington W
26 Apr
Spokane Zephyr W
3 : 1
Fort Lauderdale United W
19 Apr
Spokane Zephyr W
2 : 1
Sporting Jax W
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Carolina Ascent W

(Away)
30 May
Lexington W
3 : 1
Carolina Ascent W
24 May
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1
Carolina Ascent W
16 May
Carolina Ascent W
3 : 1
Sporting Jax W
09 May
Fort Lauderdale United W
0 : 3
Carolina Ascent W
25 Apr
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 2
Carolina Ascent W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lexington W281411350:2453
2Sporting Jax W28165754:3253
3Carolina Ascent W28156739:2751
4Dallas Trinity W281171036:4040
5Spokane Zephyr W28109934:2839
6DC Power W28891134:3233
7Brooklyn W28681431:4426
8Tampa Bay Sun W28591427:4624
9Fort Lauderdale United W28581530:6223
Promotion - USL Super League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)