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Sport Ancash vs Tarapoto

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2016
Fri, Nov 4, 2016
3 - 0
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Ancash play Tarapoto in the Segunda Division 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sport Ancash averaged 1 goals scored and 2.52 conceded. Tarapoto averaged 0.27 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. In past meetings, Sport Ancash won 1, Tarapoto won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 4, 2016 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Sport Ancash and 1.31 for Tarapoto. This points to a Sport Ancash double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Sport Ancash
15%
Draws
30%
Tarapoto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Ancash

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Sport Ancash picked up more points recently compared to Tarapoto.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Sport Ancash Clean Sheet 18%
Tarapoto Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Ancash Tarapoto
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 5 3
Draws 6 2
Losses 22 25
Goals Scored 1 0.27
Goals Conceded 2.52 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2016 Liga 2
Sport Ancash vs Tarapoto
3:0
Jul 17, 2016 Liga 2
Tarapoto vs Sport Ancash
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Ancash 53 / 100
Tarapoto 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Ancash Tarapoto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Ancash Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sport Ancash & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sport Ancash attacking → ← attacking Tarapoto

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Ancash scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Tarapoto let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sport Ancash went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tarapoto lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 11
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1AD Cantolao30158745:3153
2Sport Ancash30165953:4453
3Cienciano30157848:2652
4Carlos Mannucci301311647:3150
5Deportivo Coopsol30148839:2650
6Los Chankas301371042:4046
7Alianza Huanuco30129935:2445
8Alfredo Salinas301341357:3643
9Los Caimanes301261239:3742
10Sport Loreto30991239:4136
11Sport Victoria301061439:5336
12Union Huaral30891338:5033
13Willy Serrato30991236:5332
14Sport Boys301271141:3231
15Atletico Torino308101231:4128
16Tarapoto3031268:7210