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Sport Boys vs A. Lima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Nequecaur L.
10'
Sub
Huaman M. In: Diaz N.
Out: Huaman M.
28' Event
Alarcon J.
Assist: Urruti L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Sport Boys and A. Lima finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sport Boys
20%
Draws
40%
A. Lima
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and A. Lima come out ahead of Sport Boys on wins alone.
  • A. Lima are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors A. Lima here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 21%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Boys A. Lima
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.31 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs A. Lima
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Sport Boys
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Sport Boys
3:1
May 24, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs A. Lima
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs A. Lima
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Alarcon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

A. Lima Compare

Top Goalscorer Girotti F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Boys 29 / 100
A. Lima 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Boys A. Lima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Lima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sport Boys scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

A. Lima let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: A. Lima has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sport Boys VS A. Lima
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Boys

(Home)
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
Sport Boys
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6

A. Lima

(Away)
01 Oct
A. Lima
1 : 2
Palestino
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0
AD Tarma
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
A. Lima
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
11 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
14 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)